Average Draft Position

Fantasy Football ADP for 2009. Does Adrian Peterson really deserve to go first or should Maurice Jones-Drew or Matt Forte be #1? 2009 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position info.

FF average draft position for 2009 looks like its shaping up for Adrian Peterson as the first pick and Michael Turner and Matt Forte with the next picks. What will also be interesting is if Ladainian Tomlinson’s ADP slips out of the first round with Darren Sproles emerging as a viable back. Tom Brady could be a steal in the second round. Another potential sleeper could be Philip Rivers in the late fourth and early fifth round.

After last season’s surprises and busts, this year’s fantasy football average draft position will be interesting to see how it unfolds. A lot of former studs that were flops last season or had key teammates leave have dropped significantly in the draft. For example, Tony Romo was a 2nd or 3rd rounder last year with T.O. After a subpar season and Terrell Owen’s departure to Buffalo, Romo is all the way down to the 5th or 6th round. These numbers are more speculation than anything because as serious draft time draws near, different players move up and down as more information becomes available such as training camp reports, injuries, suspensions, holdouts, preseason games, and popularity.

One mistake is putting too much stock in the preseason games. This will affect a player’s ADP on draft day as hype and popularity will cause a player’s stock to surge or drop and also affect their average draft position.

Average Draft Position generally enables you to have better knowledge on the position different players are being selected in most fantasy drafts. This enables you to plan your draft around who you project will be available given the data compilation from hundreds or thousands of mock drafts depending on where you take the ADP. The more drafts taken, the more accurate the ADP. Although the concept of average position in a draft itself lends itself to being an informal survey, being congnizant of current patterns and trends will facilitate your scouting techniques and help you forecast the available players.

2009 Fantasy Football ADP

1. Make certain to use ADP using your league scoring systems or at least similar scoring settings.

2. Use recent ADP data compilations. An average of drafts from June to August will weight more out of date information.

3. Prepare yourself for surprise picks. Remember, ADP is no guarantee a player will be available even the round before his average position.

4. Be careful to avoid ADP info mostly collected from computer auto picks or non-serious drafters.

5. ADP is not a rank listing of best to worst player. Rankings differentiate because they usually score on projected points. Drafts are dynamic because team owners must account for position, depth, handcuffs, and bye weeks.

6. Experts mock drafts are a good source of information to see if a player is a good value at their ADP.